Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.6
Alavés xG
Expected goals
0.4
Málaga xG
26%
Both Teams to Score
32%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
22%
2–0
17%
0–0
14%
1–1
9%
3–0
9%
2–1
7%
Home
Alavés
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.1
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Málaga
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
0.6 / 1.6
Last 5
0W 3D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Alavés vs Málaga?
Alavés is favored with a 67% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Alavés's current form?
Alavés have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (22% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 26%. Over 2.5 goals: 32%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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