Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid
ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.7
Athletic Club xG
Expected goals
1.3
Atletico Madrid xG
59%
Both Teams to Score
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
11%
2–1
9%
1–0
8%
1–2
7%
2–0
7%
0–1
6%
Home
Athletic Club
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.5 / 1.3
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Away
Atletico Madrid
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid?
Athletic Club is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Athletic Club's current form?
Athletic Club have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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