โšก Match Analysis

Athletic Club vs Elche

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ La Liga ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

33%
29%
38%
Athletic Club winDrawElche win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.00
1.30Avg goals scored1.26
1.91Avg goals conceded1.22
1โ€“1โ€“3Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)1โ€“2โ€“2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Athletic Club xG

Expected goals

1.7

Elche xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1โ€“1

11%

1โ€“2

9%

0โ€“1

8%

0โ€“2

7%

2โ€“1

7%

1โ€“0

6%

Home

Athletic Club

Athletic Club

LDLLW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.9

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Elche

Elche

DWLDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.2

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 2 meetings

Athletic Cluball timeElche
1W
1D
20 Feb 26
Athletic Club2โ€“1Elche
19 Oct 25
Elche0โ€“0Athletic Club

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Athletic Club vs Elche?

Elche is favored with a 38% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Athletic Club's current form?

Athletic Club have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 2 La Liga meetings, Athletic Club won 1, drew 1, and Elche won 0.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1โ€“1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท limited H2H (2 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

Pick a winner

Leaderboard โ†’

Match Odds

Athletic Club Win33%
Draw29%
Elche Win38%
BTTS59%
Over 2.558%

Find prediction markets โ†’

Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

๐Ÿ“Š