Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3.5
Athletic Club xG
Expected goals
1.1
Elche xG
65%
Both Teams to Score
84%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–1
8%
2–1
7%
3–0
7%
4–1
7%
2–0
6%
4–0
6%
Home
Athletic Club
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.6 / 1.3
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Away
Elche
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
1.3 / 2.8
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Athletic Club vs Elche?
Athletic Club is favored with a 75% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Athletic Club's current form?
Athletic Club have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.5.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 La Liga meetings, Athletic Club won 1, drew 1, and Elche won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 84%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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