Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.6
Athletic Club xG
Expected goals
1
Real Madrid xG
29%
Both Teams to Score
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–0
20%
0–1
20%
1–0
12%
1–1
12%
0–2
10%
1–2
6%
Model vs Market
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Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Athletic Club
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
0.9 / 0.7
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Real Madrid
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
2.2 / 1.0
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Athletic Club vs Real Madrid?
Real Madrid is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Athletic Club's current form?
Athletic Club have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (20% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 29%. Over 2.5 goals: 22%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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