Athletic Club vs Sevilla
🇪🇸 La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.4
Athletic Club xG
Expected goals
1.3
Sevilla xG
55%
Both Teams to Score
51%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
12%
0–1
9%
1–0
9%
2–1
9%
1–2
8%
0–0
7%
Home
Athletic Club
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.9
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
Sevilla
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.3
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Athletic Club vs Sevilla?
Athletic Club is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Athletic Club's current form?
Athletic Club have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 La Liga meetings, Athletic Club won 4, drew 1, and Sevilla won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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