Match Analysis

Atlético MadridvsReal Betis

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

54%
22%
24%
Atlético Madrid winDrawReal Betis win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game2.20
2.27Avg goals scored2.04
0.97Avg goals conceded1.17
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Atlético Madrid xG

Expected goals

1.3

Real Betis xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

10%

1–0

7%

2–0

7%

1–2

6%

2–2

6%

Model vs Market

Polymarket · $125K volume

LIVE ODDS
Outcome
Our Model
Market
Edge
Atlético Madrid
54%
5%
+49%
Draw
22%
—
—
Real Betis
24%
95%
-71%
Trade on Polymarket →

Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.

Home

Atlético Madrid

Atlético Madrid

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.0

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Real Betis

Real Betis

DWDWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.2

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Atlético Madrid vs Real Betis?

Atlético Madrid is favored with a 54% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Atlético Madrid's current form?

Atlético Madrid have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Atlético Madrid Win54%
Draw22%
Real Betis Win24%
BTTS63%
Over 2.564%