Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3.3
Atlético Madrid xG
Expected goals
0.6
Valencia xG
43%
Both Teams to Score
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–0
12%
2–0
11%
4–0
10%
1–0
7%
2–1
7%
3–1
7%
Home
Atlético Madrid
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
2.3 / 1.0
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Away
Valencia
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
0.9 / 1.9
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Atlético Madrid vs Valencia?
Atlético Madrid is favored with a 88% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Atlético Madrid's current form?
Atlético Madrid have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 43%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from La Liga