Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal
🇪🇸 La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.6
Atletico Madrid xG
Expected goals
2.2
Villarreal xG
71%
Both Teams to Score
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
9%
1–1
8%
2–2
7%
1–3
6%
2–1
6%
0–1
5%
Home
Atletico Madrid
Away
Villarreal
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
2.2 / 1.4
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal?
Villarreal is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 71%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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