Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano
🇪🇸 La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.4
Barcelona xG
Expected goals
1
Rayo Vallecano xG
48%
Both Teams to Score
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
13%
1–1
13%
0–0
9%
0–1
9%
2–0
9%
2–1
9%
Home
Barcelona
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.7 / 0.9
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Rayo Vallecano
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.4 / 0.9
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano?
Barcelona is favored with a 51% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Barcelona's current form?
Barcelona have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 La Liga meetings, Barcelona won 4, drew 2, and Rayo Vallecano won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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