Match Analysis

Celta VigovsAlavés

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

42%
36%
22%
Celta Vigo winDrawAlavés win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.00
1.07Avg goals scored1.35
0.65Avg goals conceded1.12
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

Celta Vigo xG

Expected goals

0.6

Alavés xG

27%

Both Teams to Score

19%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–0

22%

1–0

20%

0–1

13%

1–1

12%

2–0

9%

2–1

5%

Home

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

DWLDD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.1 / 0.7

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Alavés

Alavés

DDLLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.1

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Celta Vigo vs Alavés?

Celta Vigo is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Celta Vigo's current form?

Celta Vigo have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (22% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 27%. Over 2.5 goals: 19%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Celta Vigo Win42%
Draw36%
Alavés Win22%
BTTS27%
Over 2.519%