Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.9
Celta Vigo xG
Expected goals
0.9
Athletic Club xG
35%
Both Teams to Score
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–0
17%
0–1
15%
1–0
15%
1–1
13%
0–2
7%
2–0
7%
Home
Celta Vigo
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
0.6 / 1.3
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Athletic Club
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.7
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club?
Athletic Club is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Celta Vigo's current form?
Celta Vigo have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 La Liga meetings, Celta Vigo won 2, drew 1, and Athletic Club won 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (17% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 35%. Over 2.5 goals: 27%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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