Match Analysis

Celta VigovsAtlético Madrid

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

32%
29%
39%
Celta Vigo winDrawAtlético Madrid win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game2.20
1.02Avg goals scored1.86
0.59Avg goals conceded0.65
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Celta Vigo xG

Expected goals

1.2

Atlético Madrid xG

44%

Both Teams to Score

38%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

13%

1–1

13%

0–0

11%

1–0

11%

0–2

8%

1–2

8%

Home

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

DWWLD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 0.6

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Atlético Madrid

Atlético Madrid

DDWWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.9 / 0.7

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Celta Vigo vs Atlético Madrid?

Atlético Madrid is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Celta Vigo's current form?

Celta Vigo have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Celta Vigo Win32%
Draw29%
Atlético Madrid Win39%
BTTS44%
Over 2.538%