Match Analysis

Celta Vigo vs Malaga

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

19%
35%
46%
Celta Vigo winDrawMalaga win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game0.00
0.46Avg goals scored0.00
0.97Avg goals conceded0.00
0–3–2Record (W–D–L)0–0–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.5

Celta Vigo xG

Expected goals

1

Malaga xG

25%

Both Teams to Score

19%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

00

22%

01

22%

02

11%

10

11%

11

11%

12

6%

Home

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

DDLLD

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.5 / 1.0

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Away

Malaga

No data

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Celta Vigo vs Malaga?

Malaga is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Celta Vigo's current form?

Celta Vigo have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (22% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 25%. Over 2.5 goals: 19%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

Pick a winner

Leaderboard →

Match Odds

Celta Vigo Win19%
Draw35%
Malaga Win46%
BTTS25%
Over 2.519%

Find prediction markets →

Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi