Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.5
Celta Vigo xG
Expected goals
1
Malaga xG
25%
Both Teams to Score
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–0
22%
0–1
22%
0–2
11%
1–0
11%
1–1
11%
1–2
6%
Home
Celta Vigo
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
0.5 / 1.0
Last 5
0W 3D 2L
Away
Malaga
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Celta Vigo vs Malaga?
Malaga is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Celta Vigo's current form?
Celta Vigo have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (22% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 25%. Over 2.5 goals: 19%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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