Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.6
Celta Vigo xG
Expected goals
0.3
Osasuna xG
12%
Both Teams to Score
6%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–0
41%
1–0
24%
0–1
12%
1–1
7%
2–0
7%
0–2
2%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $1.0M volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Celta Vigo
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
0.7 / 0.5
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Osasuna
PPG
0.20
Avg goals
0.5 / 0.9
Last 5
0W 1D 4L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Celta Vigo vs Osasuna?
Celta Vigo is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Celta Vigo's current form?
Celta Vigo have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 La Liga meetings, Celta Vigo won 3, drew 0, and Osasuna won 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (41% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 12%. Over 2.5 goals: 6%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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