Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.2
Celta Vigo xG
Expected goals
0.7
Villarreal xG
35%
Both Teams to Score
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
18%
0–0
15%
1–1
13%
2–0
11%
0–1
10%
2–1
8%
Home
Celta Vigo
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.1 / 0.6
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Away
Villarreal
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.5 / 1.5
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Celta Vigo vs Villarreal?
Celta Vigo is favored with a 50% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Celta Vigo's current form?
Celta Vigo have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (18% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 35%. Over 2.5 goals: 30%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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