Match Analysis

DeportivovsAthletic Club

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

30%
35%
35%
Deportivo winDrawAthletic Club win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.60
1.50Avg goals scored0.87
1.52Avg goals conceded0.67
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.8

Deportivo xG

Expected goals

0.9

Athletic Club xG

33%

Both Teams to Score

24%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–0

18%

0–1

16%

1–0

15%

1–1

13%

0–2

7%

1–2

6%

Home

Deportivo

Deportivo

DDLDW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Athletic Club

Athletic Club

DDWWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

0.9 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Deportivo vs Athletic Club?

Athletic Club is favored with a 35% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Deportivo's current form?

Deportivo have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (18% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 33%. Over 2.5 goals: 24%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Deportivo Win30%
Draw35%
Athletic Club Win35%
BTTS33%
Over 2.524%