Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.9
Deportivo xG
Expected goals
1.6
Sevilla xG
47%
Both Teams to Score
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
13%
1–1
12%
0–2
11%
1–2
9%
0–0
8%
1–0
7%
Home
Deportivo
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.0
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Sevilla
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
2.1 / 1.0
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Deportivo vs Sevilla?
Sevilla is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Deportivo's current form?
Deportivo have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 47%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from La Liga