Match Analysis

ElchevsCelta Vigo

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

19%
29%
52%
Elche winDrawCelta Vigo win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.20
1.34Avg goals scored1.07
1.87Avg goals conceded0.65
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.7

Elche xG

Expected goals

1.3

Celta Vigo xG

37%

Both Teams to Score

32%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

18%

0–0

14%

1–1

12%

0–2

11%

1–0

9%

1–2

8%

Home

Elche

Elche

DWLDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.9

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

DWLDD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.1 / 0.7

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Elche vs Celta Vigo?

Celta Vigo is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Elche's current form?

Elche have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (18% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 37%. Over 2.5 goals: 32%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Elche Win19%
Draw29%
Celta Vigo Win52%
BTTS37%
Over 2.532%