Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.7
Elche xG
Expected goals
1.3
Celta Vigo xG
37%
Both Teams to Score
32%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
18%
0–0
14%
1–1
12%
0–2
11%
1–0
9%
1–2
8%
Home
Elche
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.9
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Celta Vigo
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.1 / 0.7
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Elche vs Celta Vigo?
Celta Vigo is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Elche's current form?
Elche have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.7.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (18% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 37%. Over 2.5 goals: 32%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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