Match Analysis

ElchevsValencia

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

56%
22%
22%
Elche winDrawValencia win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game0.80
1.33Avg goals scored0.93
1.86Avg goals conceded1.93
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

Elche xG

Expected goals

1.1

Valencia xG

57%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

10%

1–0

9%

2–0

9%

1–2

6%

3–0

6%

Home

Elche

Elche

DWLDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.9

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Valencia

Valencia

DLWLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.9

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Elche vs Valencia?

Elche is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Elche's current form?

Elche have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Elche Win56%
Draw22%
Valencia Win22%
BTTS57%
Over 2.558%