Match Analysis

EspanyolvsAtlético Madrid

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

16%
20%
64%
Espanyol winDrawAtlético Madrid win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game2.00
1.29Avg goals scored2.27
1.40Avg goals conceded0.97
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Espanyol xG

Expected goals

2.1

Atlético Madrid xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–2

10%

1–2

10%

0–1

9%

1–1

9%

0–3

7%

1–3

7%

Home

Espanyol

Espanyol

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Atlético Madrid

Atlético Madrid

DWWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Espanyol vs Atlético Madrid?

Atlético Madrid is favored with a 64% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Espanyol's current form?

Espanyol have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Espanyol Win16%
Draw20%
Atlético Madrid Win64%
BTTS55%
Over 2.560%