Match Analysis

EspanyolvsCelta Vigo

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

20%
36%
44%
Espanyol winDrawCelta Vigo win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.20
1.05Avg goals scored1.06
1.33Avg goals conceded0.65
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.5

Espanyol xG

Expected goals

0.9

Celta Vigo xG

23%

Both Teams to Score

17%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–0

25%

0–1

22%

1–0

12%

1–1

11%

0–2

10%

1–2

5%

Home

Espanyol

Espanyol

DDLLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

DDWLD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.1 / 0.6

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Espanyol vs Celta Vigo?

Celta Vigo is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Espanyol's current form?

Espanyol have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (25% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 23%. Over 2.5 goals: 17%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Espanyol Win20%
Draw36%
Celta Vigo Win44%
BTTS23%
Over 2.517%