Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.2
Espanyol xG
Expected goals
1.7
Sevilla xG
73%
Both Teams to Score
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
8%
2–1
8%
2–2
7%
1–2
6%
3–1
6%
2–0
5%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $21K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Espanyol
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.6 / 1.3
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Sevilla
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.6
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Espanyol vs Sevilla?
Espanyol is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Espanyol's current form?
Espanyol have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 La Liga meetings, Espanyol won 1, drew 1, and Sevilla won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 73%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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