Match Analysis

GetafevsAtlético Madrid

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

6%
18%
76%
Getafe winDrawAtlético Madrid win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game2.60
0.48Avg goals scored2.28
1.33Avg goals conceded0.96
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.3

Getafe xG

Expected goals

2

Atlético Madrid xG

22%

Both Teams to Score

40%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

20%

0–2

20%

0–3

13%

0–0

10%

0–4

7%

1–1

6%

Home

Getafe

Getafe

DLWLD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.5 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Atlético Madrid

Atlético Madrid

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.0

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Getafe vs Atlético Madrid?

Atlético Madrid is favored with a 76% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Getafe's current form?

Getafe have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (20% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 22%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Getafe Win6%
Draw18%
Atlético Madrid Win76%
BTTS22%
Over 2.540%