Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.4
Getafe xG
Expected goals
0.3
Celta Vigo xG
9%
Both Teams to Score
3%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–0
50%
1–0
20%
0–1
15%
1–1
6%
2–0
4%
0–2
2%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $89K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Getafe
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
0.5 / 1.1
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Away
Celta Vigo
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
0.4 / 1.0
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Getafe vs Celta Vigo?
Getafe is favored with a 27% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Getafe's current form?
Getafe have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.4.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 La Liga meetings, Getafe won 2, drew 2, and Celta Vigo won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (50% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 9%. Over 2.5 goals: 3%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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