Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.6
Getafe xG
Expected goals
1
Rayo Vallecano xG
29%
Both Teams to Score
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–0
20%
0–1
20%
1–0
12%
1–1
12%
0–2
10%
1–2
6%
Home
Getafe
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
0.6 / 1.2
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Rayo Vallecano
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.2 / 1.2
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano?
Rayo Vallecano is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Getafe's current form?
Getafe have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 La Liga meetings, Getafe won 0, drew 3, and Rayo Vallecano won 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (20% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 29%. Over 2.5 goals: 22%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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