Match Analysis

Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

16%
37%
47%
Getafe winDrawRayo Vallecano win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.40
0.63Avg goals scored1.21
1.18Avg goals conceded1.19
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.6

Getafe xG

Expected goals

1

Rayo Vallecano xG

29%

Both Teams to Score

22%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

00

20%

01

20%

10

12%

11

12%

02

10%

12

6%

Home

Getafe

Getafe

LWWLW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

0.6 / 1.2

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

DLLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.2

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Getafeall timeRayo Vallecano
3D
3W
3 May 26
Getafe02Rayo Vallecano
2 Jan 26
Rayo Vallecano11Getafe
2 May 25
Rayo Vallecano10Getafe
24 Aug 24
Getafe00Rayo Vallecano
13 Apr 24
Rayo Vallecano00Getafe
2 Jan 24
Getafe02Rayo Vallecano

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano?

Rayo Vallecano is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Getafe's current form?

Getafe have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 La Liga meetings, Getafe won 0, drew 3, and Rayo Vallecano won 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (20% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 29%. Over 2.5 goals: 22%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Getafe Win16%
Draw37%
Rayo Vallecano Win47%
BTTS29%
Over 2.522%

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