Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.4
Málaga xG
Expected goals
4
Barcelona xG
32%
Both Teams to Score
81%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–3
13%
0–4
13%
0–2
10%
0–5
10%
0–1
5%
1–3
5%
Home
Málaga
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
0.6 / 1.6
Last 5
0W 3D 2L
Away
Barcelona
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
4.2 / 0.9
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Málaga vs Barcelona?
Barcelona is favored with a 93% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Málaga's current form?
Málaga have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 32%. Over 2.5 goals: 81%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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