Match Analysis

MálagavsEspanyol

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

17%
29%
54%
Málaga winDrawEspanyol win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game1.00
0.56Avg goals scored1.29
1.55Avg goals conceded1.40
0–3–2Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.6

Málaga xG

Expected goals

1.3

Espanyol xG

33%

Both Teams to Score

30%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

19%

0–0

15%

0–2

13%

1–1

12%

1–0

9%

1–2

8%

Home

Málaga

Málaga

DLLDD

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.6 / 1.5

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Away

Espanyol

Espanyol

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Málaga vs Espanyol?

Espanyol is favored with a 54% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Málaga's current form?

Málaga have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (19% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 33%. Over 2.5 goals: 30%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Málaga Win17%
Draw29%
Espanyol Win54%
BTTS33%
Over 2.530%