Match Analysis

MálagavsRacing Santander

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

29%
24%
47%
Málaga winDrawRacing Santander win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game0.80
0.56Avg goals scored1.63
1.55Avg goals conceded3.01
0–3–2Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Málaga xG

Expected goals

1.7

Racing Santander xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–2

9%

0–1

8%

0–2

7%

2–1

7%

1–0

6%

Home

Málaga

Málaga

DLLDD

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.6 / 1.5

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Away

Racing Santander

Racing Santander

DLLWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.6 / 3.0

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Málaga vs Racing Santander?

Racing Santander is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Málaga's current form?

Málaga have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Málaga Win29%
Draw24%
Racing Santander Win47%
BTTS59%
Over 2.558%