Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.8
Málaga xG
Expected goals
1.7
Real Sociedad xG
45%
Both Teams to Score
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
14%
0–2
12%
1–1
11%
1–2
9%
0–0
8%
0–3
7%
Home
Málaga
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
0.6 / 1.5
Last 5
0W 3D 2L
Away
Real Sociedad
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.9
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Málaga vs Real Sociedad?
Real Sociedad is favored with a 60% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Málaga's current form?
Málaga have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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