Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.7
Malaga xG
Expected goals
0.8
Real Sociedad xG
51%
Both Teams to Score
68%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
11%
3–0
10%
2–1
9%
1–0
8%
3–1
8%
1–1
7%
Home
Malaga
Away
Real Sociedad
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
0.8 / 2.3
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Malaga vs Real Sociedad?
Malaga is favored with a 77% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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