Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1
Osasuna xG
Expected goals
0.4
Getafe xG
21%
Both Teams to Score
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–0
25%
1–0
25%
2–0
12%
0–1
10%
1–1
10%
2–1
5%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $2.0M volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Osasuna
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.0 / 0.9
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
Getafe
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
0.6 / 1.2
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Osasuna vs Getafe?
Osasuna is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Osasuna's current form?
Osasuna have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 La Liga meetings, Osasuna won 2, drew 1, and Getafe won 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (25% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 21%. Over 2.5 goals: 17%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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