โšก Match Analysis

Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ La Liga ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

24%
20%
56%
Osasuna winDrawRayo Vallecano win

Key Stats

0.00Points per game1.60
1.04Avg goals scored1.52
1.70Avg goals conceded0.94
0โ€“0โ€“5Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)2โ€“2โ€“1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.8

Osasuna xG

Expected goals

1.9

Rayo Vallecano xG

47%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0โ€“1

13%

0โ€“2

12%

1โ€“1

10%

1โ€“2

10%

0โ€“3

8%

0โ€“0

7%

Home

Osasuna

Osasuna

LLLLL

PPG

0.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.7

Last 5

0W 0D 5L

Away

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

LWWDD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.5 / 0.9

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings

Osasunaall timeRayo Vallecano
3W
1D
2W
24 Jan 26
Rayo Vallecano1โ€“3Osasuna
14 Sep 25
Osasuna2โ€“0Rayo Vallecano
19 Jan 25
Osasuna1โ€“1Rayo Vallecano
16 Sep 24
Rayo Vallecano3โ€“1Osasuna
20 Apr 24
Rayo Vallecano2โ€“1Osasuna
15 Dec 23
Osasuna1โ€“0Rayo Vallecano

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano?

Rayo Vallecano is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Osasuna's current form?

Osasuna have recorded 0W 0D 5L in their last 5 matches (0.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 La Liga meetings, Osasuna won 3, drew 1, and Rayo Vallecano won 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0โ€“1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 47%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Osasuna Win24%
Draw20%
Rayo Vallecano Win56%
BTTS47%
Over 2.551%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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