Racing Santandervs
Real Sociedad
ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.4
Racing Santander xG
Expected goals
3.5
Real Sociedad xG
88%
Both Teams to Score
93%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–3
6%
1–3
5%
2–2
5%
2–4
5%
3–3
5%
1–2
4%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $90K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Racing Santander
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.6 / 3.0
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
Real Sociedad
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.9
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Racing Santander vs Real Sociedad?
Real Sociedad is favored with a 58% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Racing Santander's current form?
Racing Santander have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–3 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 88%. Over 2.5 goals: 93%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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