Racing Santander vs Villarreal
ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.7
Racing Santander xG
Expected goals
2.3
Villarreal xG
74%
Both Teams to Score
76%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
8%
1–1
7%
2–2
7%
1–3
6%
2–1
6%
0–2
5%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $270K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Racing Santander
PPG
2.60
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Away
Villarreal
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
2.3 / 1.5
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Racing Santander vs Villarreal?
Villarreal is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Racing Santander's current form?
Racing Santander have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 74%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from La Liga