Match Analysis

Rayo Vallecano vs Elche

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

75%
10%
15%
Rayo Vallecano winDrawElche win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.00
1.20Avg goals scored0.64
1.19Avg goals conceded2.54
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.6

Rayo Vallecano xG

Expected goals

0.6

Elche xG

42%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

20

14%

30

12%

10

11%

21

8%

40

8%

31

7%

Home

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

DLLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.2

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Elche

Elche

LDDWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.6 / 2.5

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings

Rayo Vallecanoall timeElche
1W
1W
3 Apr 26
Rayo Vallecano10Elche
21 Dec 25
Elche40Rayo Vallecano

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Rayo Vallecano vs Elche?

Rayo Vallecano is favored with a 75% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Rayo Vallecano's current form?

Rayo Vallecano have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.6.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 2 La Liga meetings, Rayo Vallecano won 1, drew 0, and Elche won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 42%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Rayo Vallecano Win75%
Draw10%
Elche Win15%
BTTS42%
Over 2.562%

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