Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol
🇪🇸 La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.6
Rayo Vallecano xG
Expected goals
0.7
Espanyol xG
40%
Both Teams to Score
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
16%
2–0
13%
1–1
11%
0–0
10%
2–1
9%
0–1
7%
Home
Rayo Vallecano
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.6 / 1.0
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Espanyol
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.3
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol?
Rayo Vallecano is favored with a 51% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Rayo Vallecano's current form?
Rayo Vallecano have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 La Liga meetings, Rayo Vallecano won 1, drew 0, and Espanyol won 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 40%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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