Match Analysis

Rayo VallecanovsMálaga

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

46%
24%
30%
Rayo Vallecano winDrawMálaga win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game0.60
1.00Avg goals scored0.85
1.88Avg goals conceded1.99
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)0–3–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Rayo Vallecano xG

Expected goals

1.3

Málaga xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

2–1

9%

1–0

8%

1–2

7%

2–0

7%

0–1

6%

Home

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

DLDDW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.9

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Málaga

Málaga

DDLDL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.9 / 2.0

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Rayo Vallecano vs Málaga?

Rayo Vallecano is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Rayo Vallecano's current form?

Rayo Vallecano have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Rayo Vallecano Win46%
Draw24%
Málaga Win30%
BTTS59%
Over 2.558%