Match Analysis

Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

25%
15%
60%
Rayo Vallecano winDrawRacing Santander win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.40
1.67Avg goals scored1.84
2.77Avg goals conceded1.79
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.4

Rayo Vallecano xG

Expected goals

3.5

Racing Santander xG

88%

Both Teams to Score

93%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

23

6%

13

5%

22

5%

24

5%

33

5%

12

4%

Home

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

LWLDL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.7 / 2.8

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Racing Santander

Racing Santander

WLWLD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.8

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander?

Racing Santander is favored with a 60% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Rayo Vallecano's current form?

Rayo Vallecano have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–3 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 88%. Over 2.5 goals: 93%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Rayo Vallecano Win25%
Draw15%
Racing Santander Win60%
BTTS88%
Over 2.593%

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