โšก Match Analysis

Real Betis vs Real Madrid

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ La Liga ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

27%
30%
43%
Real Betis winDrawReal Madrid win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game2.40
1.88Avg goals scored1.73
1.42Avg goals conceded0.89
3โ€“1โ€“1Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)4โ€“0โ€“1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Real Betis xG

Expected goals

1.8

Real Madrid xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1โ€“1

10%

1โ€“2

9%

0โ€“1

7%

0โ€“2

7%

2โ€“1

7%

1โ€“0

6%

Model vs Market

Polymarket ยท $118K volume

LIVE ODDS
Outcome
Our Model
Market
Edge
Real Betis
27%
4%
+23%
Draw
30%
โ€”
โ€”
Real Madrid
43%
96%
-53%
Trade on Polymarket โ†’

Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.

Home

Real Betis

Real Betis

WLWDW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.9 / 1.4

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

WWWLW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

1.7 / 0.9

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings

Real Betisall timeReal Madrid
1W
3D
2W
24 Apr 26
Real Betis1โ€“1Real Madrid
4 Jan 26
Real Madrid5โ€“1Real Betis
1 Mar 25
Real Betis2โ€“1Real Madrid
1 Sep 24
Real Madrid2โ€“0Real Betis
25 May 24
Real Madrid0โ€“0Real Betis
9 Dec 23
Real Betis1โ€“1Real Madrid

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Real Betis vs Real Madrid?

Real Madrid is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Real Betis's current form?

Real Betis have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 La Liga meetings, Real Betis won 1, drew 3, and Real Madrid won 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1โ€“1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Real Betis Win27%
Draw30%
Real Madrid Win43%
BTTS63%
Over 2.562%

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