Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1
Real Betis xG
Expected goals
2.3
Real Madrid xG
57%
Both Teams to Score
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–2
10%
1–2
10%
0–1
8%
1–1
8%
0–3
7%
1–3
7%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $333K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Real Betis
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
1.5 / 1.2
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Away
Real Madrid
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
2.9 / 0.8
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Real Betis vs Real Madrid?
Real Madrid is favored with a 59% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Real Betis's current form?
Real Betis have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 La Liga meetings, Real Betis won 1, drew 3, and Real Madrid won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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