โšก Match Analysis

Real Betis vs Real Sociedad

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ La Liga ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

55%
21%
24%
Real Betis winDrawReal Sociedad win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game0.60
1.71Avg goals scored1.58
1.35Avg goals conceded1.88
3โ€“1โ€“1Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)0โ€“3โ€“2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.7

Real Betis xG

Expected goals

1.6

Real Sociedad xG

74%

Both Teams to Score

80%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2โ€“1

8%

3โ€“1

7%

1โ€“1

6%

2โ€“2

6%

3โ€“2

6%

1โ€“2

5%

Model vs Market

Polymarket ยท $114K volume

LIVE ODDS
Outcome
Our Model
Market
Edge
Real Betis
55%
5%
+50%
Draw
21%
โ€”
โ€”
Real Sociedad
24%
95%
-71%
Trade on Polymarket โ†’

Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.

Home

Real Betis

Real Betis

WLWDW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.4

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

DLDDL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.9

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings

Real Betisall timeReal Sociedad
2W
2D
2W
9 May 26
Real Sociedad2โ€“2Real Betis
19 Sep 25
Real Betis3โ€“1Real Sociedad
16 Feb 25
Real Betis3โ€“0Real Sociedad
1 Dec 24
Real Sociedad2โ€“0Real Betis
19 May 24
Real Betis0โ€“2Real Sociedad
17 Dec 23
Real Sociedad0โ€“0Real Betis

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Real Betis vs Real Sociedad?

Real Betis is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Real Betis's current form?

Real Betis have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.7.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 La Liga meetings, Real Betis won 2, drew 2, and Real Sociedad won 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2โ€“1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 74%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

Pick a winner

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Match Odds

Real Betis Win55%
Draw21%
Real Sociedad Win24%
BTTS74%
Over 2.580%

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