Match Analysis

Real MadridvsCelta Vigo

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

45%
32%
23%
Real Madrid winDrawCelta Vigo win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.20
2.21Avg goals scored1.06
0.97Avg goals conceded0.65
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Real Madrid xG

Expected goals

0.7

Celta Vigo xG

34%

Both Teams to Score

27%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

18%

0–0

17%

1–1

13%

0–1

12%

2–0

10%

2–1

7%

Home

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

DWLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.2 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

DWLDD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.1 / 0.6

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo?

Real Madrid is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Real Madrid's current form?

Real Madrid have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (18% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 34%. Over 2.5 goals: 27%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Real Madrid Win45%
Draw32%
Celta Vigo Win23%
BTTS34%
Over 2.527%