Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3.5
Real Madrid xG
Expected goals
0.7
Malaga xG
49%
Both Teams to Score
79%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–0
11%
2–0
9%
4–0
9%
3–1
8%
4–1
7%
5–0
7%
Home
Real Madrid
PPG
3.00
Avg goals
3.0 / 0.7
Last 5
5W 0D 0L
Away
Malaga
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Real Madrid vs Malaga?
Real Madrid is favored with a 88% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Real Madrid's current form?
Real Madrid have recorded 5W 0D 0L in their last 5 matches (3.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 79%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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