Match Analysis

Real Madrid vs Malaga

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

88%
8%
4%
Real Madrid winDrawMalaga win

Key Stats

3.00Points per game0.00
3.04Avg goals scored0.00
0.69Avg goals conceded0.00
5–0–0Record (W–D–L)0–0–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.5

Real Madrid xG

Expected goals

0.7

Malaga xG

49%

Both Teams to Score

79%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

30

11%

20

9%

40

9%

31

8%

41

7%

50

7%

Home

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

WWWWW

PPG

3.00

Avg goals

3.0 / 0.7

Last 5

5W 0D 0L

Away

Malaga

No data

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Real Madrid vs Malaga?

Real Madrid is favored with a 88% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Real Madrid's current form?

Real Madrid have recorded 5W 0D 0L in their last 5 matches (3.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 79%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Real Madrid Win88%
Draw8%
Malaga Win4%
BTTS49%
Over 2.579%

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