Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model4
Real Madrid xG
Expected goals
0.7
Osasuna xG
49%
Both Teams to Score
85%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–0
10%
4–0
10%
5–0
8%
2–0
7%
3–1
7%
4–1
7%
Home
Real Madrid
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
2.2 / 1.0
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Osasuna
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
1.1 / 2.6
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Real Madrid vs Osasuna?
Real Madrid is favored with a 91% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Real Madrid's current form?
Real Madrid have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 85%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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