Match Analysis

SevillavsAlavés

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

37%
25%
38%
Sevilla winDrawAlavés win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.00
1.68Avg goals scored1.35
1.65Avg goals conceded1.12
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Sevilla xG

Expected goals

1.5

Alavés xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

1–2

9%

0–1

8%

1–0

8%

2–1

8%

0–0

6%

Home

Sevilla

Sevilla

DLWWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Alavés

Alavés

DDLLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.1

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sevilla vs Alavés?

Alavés is favored with a 38% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sevilla's current form?

Sevilla have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Sevilla Win37%
Draw25%
Alavés Win38%
BTTS59%
Over 2.555%