Sevilla vs Barcelona
🇪🇸 La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.9
Sevilla xG
Expected goals
1.6
Barcelona xG
47%
Both Teams to Score
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
13%
1–1
12%
0–2
11%
1–2
9%
0–0
8%
1–0
7%
Home
Sevilla
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.2
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Barcelona
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.0
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Sevilla vs Barcelona?
Barcelona is favored with a 62% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Sevilla's current form?
Sevilla have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 La Liga meetings, Sevilla won 1, drew 0, and Barcelona won 5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 47%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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