Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.7
Sevilla xG
Expected goals
0.8
Osasuna xG
45%
Both Teams to Score
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
14%
2–0
12%
1–1
11%
2–1
9%
0–0
8%
0–1
7%
Home
Sevilla
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
2.1 / 1.0
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Osasuna
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.0 / 0.9
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Sevilla vs Osasuna?
Sevilla is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Sevilla's current form?
Sevilla have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 La Liga meetings, Sevilla won 1, drew 3, and Osasuna won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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