Match Analysis

SevillavsRacing Santander

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

56%
19%
25%
Sevilla winDrawRacing Santander win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game0.40
1.63Avg goals scored1.44
1.72Avg goals conceded2.50
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.4

Sevilla xG

Expected goals

1.6

Racing Santander xG

73%

Both Teams to Score

76%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

8%

1–1

7%

2–2

7%

3–1

7%

1–2

6%

2–0

5%

Home

Sevilla

Sevilla

DLDLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Racing Santander

Racing Santander

DLDLL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.4 / 2.5

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sevilla vs Racing Santander?

Sevilla is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sevilla's current form?

Sevilla have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 73%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Sevilla Win56%
Draw19%
Racing Santander Win25%
BTTS73%
Over 2.576%