โšก Match Analysis

Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ La Liga ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

27%
32%
41%
Sevilla winDrawRayo Vallecano win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.60
1.00Avg goals scored1.46
1.40Avg goals conceded0.92
3โ€“0โ€“2Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)2โ€“2โ€“1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.8

Sevilla xG

Expected goals

1.5

Rayo Vallecano xG

43%

Both Teams to Score

40%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0โ€“1

15%

1โ€“1

12%

0โ€“2

11%

0โ€“0

10%

1โ€“2

9%

1โ€“0

8%

Home

Sevilla

Sevilla

LLWWW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.4

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

LWWDD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.5 / 0.9

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings

Sevillaall timeRayo Vallecano
3W
3D
8 Mar 26
Sevilla1โ€“1Rayo Vallecano
28 Sep 25
Rayo Vallecano0โ€“1Sevilla
1 Mar 25
Rayo Vallecano1โ€“1Sevilla
24 Nov 24
Sevilla1โ€“0Rayo Vallecano
5 Feb 24
Rayo Vallecano1โ€“2Sevilla
7 Oct 23
Sevilla2โ€“2Rayo Vallecano

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano?

Rayo Vallecano is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sevilla's current form?

Sevilla have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 La Liga meetings, Sevilla won 3, drew 3, and Rayo Vallecano won 0.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0โ€“1 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 43%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Sevilla Win27%
Draw32%
Rayo Vallecano Win41%
BTTS43%
Over 2.540%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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