Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.5
Sevilla xG
Expected goals
2.2
Real Betis xG
69%
Both Teams to Score
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
9%
1–1
8%
1–3
7%
2–2
7%
0–2
6%
2–1
6%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $41K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Sevilla
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.6
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Real Betis
PPG
2.20
Avg goals
2.0 / 1.2
Last 5
3W 2D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Sevilla vs Real Betis?
Real Betis is favored with a 54% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Sevilla's current form?
Sevilla have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 69%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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