Match Analysis

Sevilla vs Valencia

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

64%
20%
16%
Sevilla winDrawValencia win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game0.80
1.58Avg goals scored0.55
1.50Avg goals conceded2.34
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.9

Sevilla xG

Expected goals

0.6

Valencia xG

43%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

20

13%

30

12%

10

9%

40

9%

21

8%

31

7%

Home

Sevilla

Sevilla

DLWWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Valencia

Valencia

LLLDW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.5 / 2.3

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Sevillaall timeValencia
3D
3W
21 Mar 26
Sevilla02Valencia
7 Dec 25
Valencia11Sevilla
11 Apr 25
Valencia10Sevilla
11 Jan 25
Sevilla11Valencia
17 Feb 24
Valencia00Sevilla
11 Aug 23
Sevilla12Valencia

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sevilla vs Valencia?

Sevilla is favored with a 64% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sevilla's current form?

Sevilla have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.9.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 La Liga meetings, Sevilla won 0, drew 3, and Valencia won 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 43%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Sevilla Win64%
Draw20%
Valencia Win16%
BTTS43%
Over 2.568%

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