โšก Match Analysis

Sevilla vs Valencia

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ La Liga ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

19%
31%
50%
Sevilla winDrawValencia win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game2.00
0.95Avg goals scored1.73
1.25Avg goals conceded1.33
3โ€“0โ€“2Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)3โ€“1โ€“1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Sevilla xG

Expected goals

1.6

Valencia xG

53%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1โ€“1

12%

0โ€“1

11%

0โ€“2

9%

1โ€“2

9%

0โ€“0

7%

1โ€“0

7%

Home

Sevilla

Sevilla

LLWWW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.3

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Valencia

Valencia

WWDWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.3

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings

Sevillaall timeValencia
3D
3W
21 Mar 26
Sevilla0โ€“2Valencia
7 Dec 25
Valencia1โ€“1Sevilla
11 Apr 25
Valencia1โ€“0Sevilla
11 Jan 25
Sevilla1โ€“1Valencia
17 Feb 24
Valencia0โ€“0Sevilla
11 Aug 23
Sevilla1โ€“2Valencia

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sevilla vs Valencia?

Valencia is favored with a 50% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sevilla's current form?

Sevilla have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 La Liga meetings, Sevilla won 0, drew 3, and Valencia won 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1โ€“1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Sevilla Win19%
Draw31%
Valencia Win50%
BTTS53%
Over 2.551%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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