Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.9
Sevilla xG
Expected goals
0.6
Valencia xG
43%
Both Teams to Score
68%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
13%
3–0
12%
1–0
9%
4–0
9%
2–1
8%
3–1
7%
Home
Sevilla
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.6 / 1.5
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Valencia
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
0.5 / 2.3
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Sevilla vs Valencia?
Sevilla is favored with a 64% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Sevilla's current form?
Sevilla have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.9.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 La Liga meetings, Sevilla won 0, drew 3, and Valencia won 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 43%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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