Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.3
Valencia xG
Expected goals
4
Barcelona xG
25%
Both Teams to Score
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–3
14%
0–4
14%
0–5
12%
0–2
11%
0–1
5%
1–3
4%
Home
Valencia
PPG
0.20
Avg goals
0.4 / 2.1
Last 5
0W 1D 4L
Away
Barcelona
PPG
3.00
Avg goals
4.1 / 0.9
Last 5
5W 0D 0L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Valencia vs Barcelona?
Barcelona is favored with a 88% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Valencia's current form?
Valencia have recorded 0W 1D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 La Liga meetings, Valencia won 1, drew 1, and Barcelona won 4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 25%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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